David Rothschild
David Rothschild
Microsoft Research
Verified email at researchdmr.com - Homepage
TitleCited byYear
The science of fake news
DMJ Lazer, MA Baum, Y Benkler, AJ Berinsky, KM Greenhill, F Menczer, ...
Science 359 (6380), 1094-1096, 2018
5032018
Forecasting elections with non-representative polls
W Wang, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 980-991, 2015
2392015
Forecasting elections: Comparing prediction markets, polls, and their biases
D Rothschild
Public Opinion Quarterly 73 (5), 895-916, 2009
1092009
Lay understanding of probability distributions.
DG Goldstein, D Rothschild
Judgment & Decision Making 9 (1), 2014
702014
Are public opinion polls self-fulfilling prophecies?
D Rothschild, N Malhotra
Research & Politics 1 (2), 2053168014547667, 2014
592014
Forecasting elections: Voter intentions versus expectations
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Available at SSRN 1884644, 2011
572011
Online and social media data as an imperfect continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, JM Hofman, E Kıcıman, D Rothschild
PloS one 11 (1), e0145406, 2016
552016
The mythical swing voter
A Gelman, S Goel, D Rivers, D Rothschild
Quarterly Journal of Political Science 11 (1), 103-130, 2016
542016
Combining forecasts for elections: Accurate, relevant, and timely
D Rothschild
International Journal of Forecasting 31 (3), 952-964, 2015
312015
Trading strategies and market microstructure: Evidence from a prediction market
DM Rothschild, R Sethi
The Journal of Prediction Markets 10 (1), 1-29, 2016
292016
Disentangling bias and variance in election polls
H Shirani-Mehr, D Rothschild, S Goel, A Gelman
Journal of the American Statistical Association 113 (522), 607-614, 2018
242018
Non-representative surveys: Fast, cheap, and mostly accurate
S Goel, A Obeng, D Rothschild
Working Paper, 2015
212015
Fundamental models for forecasting elections at the state level
P Hummel, D Rothschild
Electoral Studies 35, 123-139, 2014
21*2014
Don’t blame the election on fake news. Blame it on the media
DJ Watts, DM Rothschild
Columbia Journalism Review, 05-12, 2017
132017
A combinatorial prediction market for the US elections
M Dudik, S Lahaie, DM Pennock, D Rothschild
Proceedings of the fourteenth ACM conference on Electronic commerce, 341-358, 2013
13*2013
One person, one vote: Estimating the prevalence of double voting in US presidential elections
S Goel, M Meredith, M Morse, D Rothschild, H Shirani-Mehr
Cambridge, Mass.: Scholars at Harvard. Accessed June 21, 2018, 2016
122016
Market manipulation muddies election outlook
D Rothschild, J Wolfers
Derived from, 2008
112008
A COMPARISON OF FORECASTING METHODS: FUNDAMENTALS, POLLING, PREDICTION MARKETS, AND EXPERTS.
D Pathak, D Rothschild, M Dudik
Journal of Prediction Markets 9 (2), 2015
82015
Online and social media data as a flawed continuous panel survey
F Diaz, M Gamon, J Hofman, E Kiciman, D Rothschild
Working Paper http://research. microsoft. com/flawedsurvey, 2014
82014
Expectations: Point-Estimates, Probability Distributions, Confidence, and Forecasts.
D Rothschild
AMMA, 18, 2011
82011
The system can't perform the operation now. Try again later.
Articles 1–20